Oh, good (at a personal point of view) =D Looking at the oversupply, means that i can stay away from Malaysia until my specialist qualifications... and then come back ... if i do come back.
What if those come overwhelmingly exceed those go?
Well, its not very likely this will happen, because most of the ones who have the choice (mmm... well, leaning towards the better qualified/motivated ones i guess) will look at the situation [oversupply --> low pay --> low further training prospects] and decide to leave. Singapore *is* just right next door. Or the overseas grads wont bother coming back.
On the other hand... those that have the ability to stay away are probably on average "better" than the ones who can't stay away....... thus maybe leading to a decline in quality.
Hopefully this will be offset by the numbers coming in, there's sure to be good ones that will stay in Malaysia.
However, I think Malaysia will still be suffering from a lack of medical specialists in many years to come.
Todays MO and HOs are tomorrows specialists... so oversupply will probably spillover into the tertiary care sector. Particularly if training slots are based on seniority, if you stay in the system long enough....
Also, how long will it be until the increased number of docs clamor for increased training spots?